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Week 11 College Football Picks Against The Spread

By Mitch Athey - Posted: 11/07/13 06:34PM UTC
Alabama looks to get a big win over LSU this weekend.

Alabama looks to get a big win over LSU this weekend. (Photo: Creative Commons)

We have emerged from the desert and have entered the college football promised land. Week 11 is here, and it is filled to the brim with great matchups. There's a lot to discuss, so let's pick this week's biggest games against the spread.

     Overall Record: 9-5-1

Oklahoma (+16) at Baylor: Baylor is going to win this football game. This is arguably the biggest game in the history of Baylor Football, and the Bears are going to come out and get a win at home. However, the Sooners are going to cover the spread. For the first time all season, Baylor will be facing a team that has more raw talent than them, and Bob Stoops will have his team in this game all night. Expect Oklahoma to lean heavily on the run, dominate the time of possession, and keep this game tight. Baylor wins this one 42 to 31.

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Oregon (-11) at Stanford: This line is within two touchdowns largely because of Stanford's gritty win in Eugene over the Ducks last year. Unfortunately for Stanford, Oregon is not the same team that it was last year. Marcus Mariota and the Oregon offense look far better than they did last season, while Kevin Hogan and Stanford's offense seem to be only a shell of what they were a year ago. Stanford's normally dominant defense has looked sluggish so far at times this year, while Oregon is likely fielding their best defense in over a decade. The Duck's are going to score quite a few points in this one, and Stanford will simply not be able to keep up. The Duck's get a statement win over Stanford 35 to 14.

LSU at Alabama (-13): The previous meetings between these teams have typically been extremely close because both of these teams are built around their dominant defenses. That is not the case with LSU this year. LSU has looked surprisingly average on defense this season and has largely relied on their offense to win them games. That is not going to work against the Crimson Tide. Alabama's defense has looked outstanding against all of their opponents who don't have a quarterback named Johnny Manziel. Alabama will do enough to hold down LSU and make them take field goals instead of touchdowns. Meanwhile, Alabama's offensive line will bully the Tiger's defensive front and give AJ McCarron manageable third down conversions all night. I'll take Alabama 31 to 16.

Virginia Tech (+7) at Miami: Miami will be coming in to this game off of a huge letdown against Florida State and will be short their offensive MVP Duke Johnson. That is not a formula for success against Virginia Tech's stout defense. This is going to be a very ugly football game, and Virginia Tech's defense will do enough to get the Hokies an outright win this weekend against the Hurricanes. Virginia Tech wins 17 to 14.

UCLA (-1.5) at Arizona: October was not kind to the Bruins. UCLA has recently lost to both Stanford and Oregon, and now needs quite a bit of help if they want to reach the PAC-12 Championship Game. However, UCLA still has a lot to play for and will come out hot against the Wildcats. UCLA is simply the better team here, and they will cover this spread with ease. UCLA wins 34 to 24.

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